2020 ESA Annual Meeting (August 3 - 6)

OOS 59 - Leveraging Monitoring Data to Improve Restoration Forecasts

Thursday, August 6, 2020: 12:30 PM-1:00 PM
Organizer:
Cara Applestein
Co-organizer:
Andrii Zaiats
Moderator:
Cara Applestein
Monitoring has become an integral part of many restoration projects and is a ready source of big data to parameterize forecasting models. The spatial and temporal breadth of monitoring data provides opportunities to investigate ecological processes on scales unfeasible for experimental manipulations. While there are difficulties associated with using monitoring data, including confounding factors, non-random placement of restoration treatments, and pseudoreplication, it is often the only available data for understanding processes at large spatial and temporal scales. Integrating knowledge derived from past restoration efforts into forecasts of success for future restoration projects will be a key aspect of adaptive management. This session will explore the use of monitoring and management data to inform restoration predictions in sagebrush steppe, grasslands, and prairies. There are a wide range of data that can be leveraged, including historic data on land treatments and routine monitoring data (including long term time series). We will consider the barriers associated with using monitoring data, transferability of predictions from one site to another, upscaling predictions by using multiple sources of data, and lessons learned on predicting restoration success from past analyses. The session will comprehensively address challenges and opportunities for forecasting in ecological restoration. Given high variation of restoration outcomes, the accuracy of predictions could vary depending on spatial, temporal, and biological scales. The session will integrate scientific insights about predictions of species populations, functional groups, and communities, including humans as an inherent part of modern ecosystems. Spatial and temporal transferability of results represents another challenge in restoration, however, is an essential component of ecological predictions. Finally, we will share perspectives on developing an iterative process of data collection and model validation to link restoration ecology with ongoing land management.
12:30 PM
Connecting process and pattern in restoration: Insights into rangeland restoration outcomes from data-driven population models
Robert K. Shriver, University of Nevada, Reno; Caitlin M. Andrews, USGS; Robert S. Arkle, Forest & Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center; David M. Barnard, USDA-ARS; Michael Duniway, U.S. Geological Survey; Matthew J. Germino, US Geological Survey; David S. Pilliod, Forest & Rangeland Ecosystem Science Center; David A. Pyke, U.S. Geological Survey; Justin L. Welty, U.S. Geological Survey; John B. Bradford, U.S. Geological Survey
12:45 PM
Long-term trajectories suggest divergent responses of native and non-native perennials and annuals to management treatments
Stella Copeland, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service; Seth M. Munson, U.S. Geological Survey; John B. Bradford, U.S. Geological Survey; Bradley J. Butterfield, Northern Arizona University; Kevin Gunnell, Utah Division of Wildlife Resources
1:00 PM
Fire and grazing as restoration tools in a California serpentine grassland impacted by global change: Evidence from long-term monitoring data
E. Ashley Shaw, University of Oregon; Eliza Hernandez, University of Oregon; Lina Aoyama, University of Oregon; Alejandro Brambila, University of Oregon; Christal Niederer, Creekside Center for Earth Observation; Stuart B. Weiss, Creekside Center for Earth Observation; Lauren M. Hallett, University of Oregon
1:15 PM
Insects as indicators of management impacts on trophic and functional diversity: Ground beetle communities in restored tallgrass prairie
Nicholas Barber, San Diego State University; Melissa Nelson, Northern Illinois University; Sheryl C. Hosler, University of Illinois-Chicago; Camille A. Traylor, University of Nevada Las Vegas; Katie A LaMagdeleine-Dent, Western Illinois University; Kenneth W McCravy, Western Illinois University; Holly P. Jones, Northern Illinois University
1:30 PM
Forecasting restoration outcomes: The roles of assessment metric and site properties
Lars Brudvig, Michigan State University; Christopher P. Catano, Michigan State University; Tyler Bassett, Michigan Natural Features Inventory; Jonathan Bauer, Miami University; Emily Grman, Eastern Michigan University; Anna M. Groves, Discover Magazine; Chad R. Zirbel, University of Minnesota