2020 ESA Annual Meeting (August 3 - 6)

INS 20 Abstract - The importance of prediction in (soil) ecology

Colin Averill, Department of Environmental Systems Sciences, ETH Zurich, Zurich, MA, Switzerland, Zoey R. Werbin, Biology, Boston University, Boston, MA, Michael C. Dietze, Earth and Environment, Boston University, Boston, MA and Jennifer M. Bhatnagar, Department of Biology, Boston University, Boston, MA
Global soil microbiome surveys have shown the distribution of microorganisms is linked to environmental factors. Yet, a central question remains: will these relationships generalize out of sample? Can we predict the forest microbiome? We assembled data on soil fungal composition from 130 sites across temperate latitudes, fit models, and then used models to predict fungal abundances out of sample across the NEON network. We discovered remarkable spatial and taxonomic scale dependence, with fungi becoming more predictable as spatial scale increased, or if they are modeled at a higher taxonomic level.