OOS 16 - Transients In Ecology

Wednesday, August 14, 2019: 8:00 AM-11:30 AM
M100, Kentucky International Convention Center
Organizer:
K. Cuddington
Moderator:
K. Cuddington
Transient dynamics certainly affect our every observation and attempted manipulation of ecological systems. Climate change, species introductions, habitat destruction, and other disturbances ensure that systems are frequently quite far from an equilibrium state, and therefore may be experiencing temporary behavior which differs markedly from what we predict in the long term. However, the theory that would support our measurement, understanding and management of such transient dynamics is either underdeveloped, or largely unknown to mainstream ecologists. As a result, generalizations regarding transients across different systems that could provide important ecological insights are still in their infancy. This lack of progress persists despite a least a decade of calls for greater attention to transients. The speakers in this symposium work with different systems (terrestrial to marine) and use different approaches (experimental to mathematical). Together they will identify areas of commonality and fruitful paths of investigation. The goals of the session are to identify general needs for theory development, to galvanize new research in this area, and to begin the work of creating a general framework for understanding ecological transients.
8:40 AM
Transient dynamics: A symptom of aging?
Iain Stott, University of Lincoln, University of Southern Denmark; Owen Jones, University of Southern Denmark; Annette Baudisch, University of Southern Denmark
9:00 AM
Movement before the end of time: Analyses of transient movement dynamics and their applications in disease ecology
Yun Tao, University of California, Santa Barbara; Kevin Lafferty, US Geological Survey
9:20 AM
The effect of rising sea surface temperature on seabird behavior and population dynamics in the Pacific Northwest: Transients and tipping points
Shandelle M. Henson, Andrews University; James L. Hayward, Andrews University; J. M. Cushing, University of Arizona
9:40 AM
9:50 AM
The impact of transients on estimating human populations at high spatial resolution in low and middle income countries
Claire Dooley, University of Southampton; Andrew J. Tatem, University of Southampton
10:10 AM
Transient responses of bumble bee populations to spatial and temporal variation in food resources
Elizabeth Crone, Tufts University; David T. Iles, Tufts University; Natalie Z. Kerr, Tufts University; Rosemary L. Malfi, University of California, Davis; John M. Mola, University of California; Genevieve Pugesek, Tufts University; Maj Rundlöf, Lund University; Neal Williams, University of California, Davis
10:30 AM
10:50 AM
Transient dynamics: separating deterministic signal from noise for the adaptive management of marine protected areas
Will White, Oregon State; Jennifer E. Caselle, University of California, Santa Barbara; Kirsten Grorud-Colvert, Oregon State University
11:10 AM
Exploiting delayed transitions to sustain semiarid ecosystems after catastrophic shifts
Blai Vidiella, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Institut de Biologia Evolutiva