2018 ESA Annual Meeting (August 5 -- 10)

INS 31-10 - Detection and reduction of uncertainties in marine biogeochemical models

Friday, August 10, 2018
243, New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center
Oluwaseun O. Ogunro1, Scott M. Elliott2, Weiwei Fu3, Nathan Collier1 and Forrest Hoffman4, (1)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, (3)University of California, Irvine, CA, (4)Computational Earth Sciences Group, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN
Marine ecosystems drive global carbon uptake, contributing to the overall ocean carbon sink of about one quarter of anthropogenic CO2. Life in the ocean essentially reduces the impacts of persistent rise in atmospheric concentrations. It is still uncertain where the tipping point lies. Challenges with appropriate representation of biogeochemical processes in Earth System Models undermines the effort to quantify seasonal to multidecadal variability in ocean uptake of atmospheric CO2. Improved availability of high quality observational data and development of metrics that employed observations would aid to constrain model developments through detection and reduction of uncertainties and ultimately enhance model predictions.