2022 ESA Annual Meeting (August 14 - 19)

OOS 45 Integrating Theory and Big Data for Species on the Move

1:30 PM-3:00 PM
520E
Organizer:
Malin L. Pinsky
Co-Organizer:
Jonathan M. Levine
Moderator:
Malin L. Pinsky
While ever-larger syntheses of Anthropocene species distributions have demonstrated that species are shifting their ranges, individual responses are often context-dependent and we have yet to fully understand the general processes driving these dynamics. To advance the field, this session will bring together two historically divergent approaches to building generalizable knowledge about range shifts. First, ecological theory is designed to abstract away from system details in ways that provide useful insight of broad utility. Second, the explosion of data on where and when species have been found and new approaches to data science provide opportunities for testing general processes and principles across taxa, ecosystem, and realms. However, most of the first generation of big data approaches to understanding dynamic species distributions left much of ecological theory behind other than concepts of the Grinnellian niche. This approach implicitly assumes that species remain in equilibrium with their habitat. In contrast, ecological theory makes clear that species and communities are rarely at equilibrium, that transient dynamics are common, and that ecology and evolution often operate on similar timescales. How can we move beyond equilibrium and non-evolutionary assumptions in understanding species ranges and their dynamics across space and time? This session will focus on novel efforts to integrate ecological theory with big data to understand how, why, and when species ranges move and how this information can be used to guide societal decisions and climate adaptation. We will start with novel ecological theory for dynamic environments, explore approaches to integrating data with mechanistic ecological models, and end with the applications to decision making.
1:30 PM
Can increasing genetic diversity help plants adapt to warming near their warm range margin?
Christopher P. Nadeau, Northeastern University;Christopher P. Nadeau, Northeastern University;Randall R. Hughes, PhD, Northeastern University;Nicholas Fisichelli, Schoodic Institute at Acadia National Park;Abraham J. Miller-Rushing, National Park Service, Acadia National Park;
1:45 PM
Understanding species on the move with environmental DNA - worthy work or a bunch of warm water?
Jennifer Sunday, PhD, McGill University;Matthew Lemay, Hakai Institute;Kate Sheridan, McGill;
2:00 PM
Forecasting range shifts with process-based models and big data
Alexa Fredston, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey;Daniel Ovando, University of Washington;Andrew Allyn, Gulf of Maine Research institute;Malin L. Pinsky, Rutgers University;
2:15 PM
Ocean Fronts and 30x30: Conserving dynamic ecosystems at last call for Marine Protected Areas
Lee Hannah, ;Jessica Couture, ;Isaac Brito-Morales, ;Patrick Roehrdanz, Conservation International;
2:30 PM
The geographic footprint of mutualism
Joshua Fowler, Rice University;Marion L. Donald, Manaaki Whenua Landcare Research;Judith L. Bronstein, Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721;Tom E.X. Miller, Rice University;
2:45 PM
Can species traits explain climate-induced range shifts across taxa and realms?
Lise Comte, Illinois State University;BIOSHIFTS working group, CESAB – Centre for the Synthesis and Analysis of Biodiversity;