2022 ESA Annual Meeting (August 14 - 19)
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OOS 7-5 Ecological-Fishery Forecasting of short-lived species under climate variability and change

9:00 AM-9:15 AM
520C
Hassan Moustahfid, Dr., NOAA;Hassan Moustahfid, Dr.,NOAA;Lisa Hendrickson, Dr.,National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration;Alexander Arkhipkin, Dr.,Falklands Islands Directorate of Natural Resources, UK;Graham J. Pierce, Dr.,Instituto de Investigaciones Marinas, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas, Vigo, Spain;Avijit Gangopadhyay, Dr.,University of Massachusetts Dartmouth, USA;Hideaki Kidokoro, Dr.,Fisheries Resources Institute, Japan Fisheries Research and Education Agency, Japan;Unai Markaida, Dr.,El Colegio de la Frontera Sur. Mexico;Chingiz Nigmatullin, Dr.,Atlantic Branch of VNIRO (AtlantNIRO), RU;Warwick H. Sauer, Dr.,Rhodes University, South Africa;Patrizia Jereb, Dr.,talian National Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (ISPRA), Italy;Gretta Pecl, Dr.,University of Tasmania, Australia;;Thibaut De La Chesnais,University of Tasmania, Australia;Luca Ceriola, Dr.,Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations, Italy;Najih Lazar,University of Rhode Island, USA;Christopher J. Firmin, Dr.,Centre for Environment Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (Cefas), UK;Vladimir Laptikhovsky, Dr.,Centre for Environment Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (Cefas), UK;
Background/Question/Methods

All projections indicate that climate change will affect marine living resources around the globe as well as broader components of marine ecosystems. Warming waters and changing productivity are affecting the distribution and abundance of living marine resources, and the frequency and magnitude of impacts are expected to increase. Although the impacts of climate change will overwhelmingly be negative, there will in fact be 'winners' and 'losers' among different marine species. One group of species that seems flourishing and winning the adaptation race are cephalopods as shown by their rapid rise in their global landings. However, cephalopod populations are sensitive to environmental variability, in that many species show wide fluctuations in abundance, and that this is most evident for the commercial and abundant squid. A key barrier to rational management of squid fisheries is the low level of development of fishing forecasting. It is complicated by the high dynamic year-to-year fluctuation in the abundance of stocks. These species mainly have a short 1-2-year life cycle, with planktonic paralarvae and juvenile stages that inhabit epi-pelagic water layers for about 2-2.5 months and have a high mortality rate. These key factors help define the problems and specifics of squid fishery forecasting.

Results/Conclusions

In this presentation, we first provide our current knowledge of the effects of climate change on squid species and sheds light on the urgent need for further research and development of tools to support squid fisheries management. Ecological fishery forecasting of squid distribution and abundance has emerged as a potential tool that could help decision-makers and managers and stakeholders plan for the future and make informed decisions regarding alternative management choices. Despite substantial progress made in developing fishery forecasting capabilities, several challenges remain to developing forecast products. Herein, we propose a roadmap to help guide the future development of squid forecasting to achieve sustainable squid fisheries management.