Session: Modeling: Populations (2019 ESA Annual Meeting (August 11 -- 16))

8:00 AM

COS 50-1

Increased climatic vulnerability of migratory birds under intensified land use
Qing Zhao, University of Missouri; Todd Arnold, University of Minnesota; Jim H. Devries, Ducks Unlimited Canada; David W. Howerter, Ducks Unlimited Canada; Robert Clark, Environment and Climate Change Canada; Mitch Weegman, University of Missouri

8:20 AM

COS 50-2

Mapping vulnerable populations at high resolution in countries without recent census data: A hierarchical Bayesian approach
Douglas R. Leasure, University of Southampton; Warren C. Jochem, University of Southampton; Michael Harper, Flowminder Foundation; Eric M. Weber, Oak Ridge National Laboratory; Vincent Seaman, Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Andrew J. Tatem, University of Southampton

8:40 AM Cancelled

COS 50-3

Estimating total abundance of Tibetan wild ass using species distribution models and distance sampling (widthdrawn)
Xinhai LI, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences; Baidu Li, The High School Affiliated to Renmin University of China; Erhu Gao, Institute of Survey Planning and Design, National Freostry and Grassland Administration

9:00 AM

COS 50-4

Balancing efficiency, bias, and statistical power: Data collection for plant censuses and population models
Norma Fowler, University of Texas at Austin; Ashley Green, University of Texas at Austin; Carolyn V. Whiting, University of Texas at Austin; Christopher F. Best, United States Fish and Wildlife Service; Jessica Gurevitch, Stony Brook University

9:20 AM

COS 50-5

Fusing an agent-based model of mosquito population dynamics with a statistical reconstruction of spatio-temporal abundance patterns
Sean M. Cavany, University of Notre Dame; Guido Camargo España, University of Notre Dame; Alun Lloyd, North Carolina State University; Lance A. Waller, Emory University; Uriel D. Kitron, Emory University; Gonzalo M. Vazquez-Prokopec, Emory University; Helvio Astete, Naval Medical Research Unit-6; Thomas W. Scott, University of California, Davis; Amy C. Morrison, University of California, Davis; Robert C. Reiner Jr., University of Washington; T. Alex Perkins, University of Notre Dame

9:40 AM

COS 50-

Break

9:50 AM

COS 50-6

Collapse in a socio-ecological metapopulation model induced by cross-patch harvesting
Zachary Dockstader, University of Waterloo; Chris Bauch, University of Waterloo; Madhur Anand, University of Guelph

10:10 AM Cancelled

COS 50-7

Tipping points in vital rate responses to temperature across the annual lifecycle of a butterfly (widthdrawn)
Elsita Kiekebusch, NC State University; Allison Louthan, University of Colorado- Boulder; William F. Morris, Duke University; Brian Hudgens, Institute for Wildlife Studies; Nick Haddad, Michigan State University

10:30 AM

COS 50-8

The impacts of spatial uncertainty in herbaria data on species distribution models
Michelle DePrenger-Levin, Denver Botanic Gardens

10:50 AM

COS 50-9

To spray or not to spray: Model-based predictions of when microbial control of defoliating insects is necessary
Spencer Carran, University of Chicago; Carlos M. Polivka, PNW Research Station USDA Forest Service; Katherine P. Dixon, University of Chicago; Joseph R. Mihaljevic, Northern Arizona University; Greg Dwyer, University of Chicago

11:10 AM

COS 50-10

Factors affecting eastern box turtle occurrence at varying spatial scales
Lisa Prowant, Stony Brook University; H. Resit Akcakaya, Stony Brook University

COS 50 - Modeling: Populations