OOS 13-1 - Missing pieces to modeling the arctic-boreal puzzle

Wednesday, August 14, 2019: 8:00 AM
M103, Kentucky International Convention Center
Joshua Fisher1, Deborah Huntzinger2, Daniel J. Hayes3, Christopher Schwalm2, Kevin Schaefer4 and Eric Stofferahn5, (1)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, (2)School of Earth Sciences & Environmental Sustainability, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ, (3)School of Forest Resources, University of Maine, Orono, ME, (4)University of Colorado - Boulder, National Snow & Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO, (5)Conservation Science Partners
Background/Question/Methods

The Arctic-Boreal Region (ABR) is the source of among the largest uncertainties to global climate projections. Models are challenged in how to initialize carbon pools, determine the sensitivities of soil and vegetation responses to changing temperature and hydrological regimes, and scale heterogeneous processes to large grid sizes. Numerous field-based campaigns are underway to collect data for modelers (e.g., the NASA Arctic Boreal Vulnerability Experiment, ABoVE), but the global modeling community has largely been disconnected from these activities. We surveyed 18 modeling teams from around the world on data needs for modeling terrestrial ecosystem dynamics in the ABR.

Results/Conclusions

Results included a suite of variables encompassing carbon biogeochemistry, vegetation, permafrost, hydrology, and disturbance dynamics. Here, we describe these data needs—and gaps—and outline the NASA plan forward for a step-change improvement in modeling the ABR.