2018 ESA Annual Meeting (August 5 -- 10)

OOS 35 - The Science of Resistance: Climate Change Refugia in the Face of Heat, Droughts, Floods, Fires, and Forest Pests

Thursday, August 9, 2018: 1:30 PM-5:00 PM
343, New Orleans Ernest N. Morial Convention Center
Organizer:
Toni Lyn Morelli
Co-organizers:
Jennifer M. Cartwright and Aaron R. Ramirez
Moderator:
Toni Lyn Morelli
The concept of climate refugia has a long history in the field of paleontology, where areas of relatively stable climate have been seen as safe havens for species during past episodes of climate change. Recently, this concept has been updated to focus on its application to managing species and ecosystems in the face of anthropogenic climate change. As the effects of climate change expand nationally and globally, resistance strategies like managing climate change refugia—i.e., areas buffered from contemporary climate change that enable persistence of physical, ecological, and socio-cultural resources—are among the adaptation options that natural resource managers are turning to. Using climate change refugia as an adaptation strategy requires identifying areas that are likely to function as refugia. In its simplest form, identification of climate change refugia involves finding locations that are relatively buffered from physical processes such as warming temperatures. However, for refugia identification to be more realistic and relevant, many other components of climate change ecology must also be considered, including hydrologic changes, disturbances (e.g., fire, drought, pests/pathogens), population demographics and genetics, interspecies interactions, dispersal/migration patterns, and adaptive responses to changing environmental conditions. In this session, speakers will present the cutting edge in our ability to detect, understand, and manage climate change refugia. Presenters will focus on novel statistical, climatological, and geographic tools, including new methods for modeling habitat suitability and vulnerability to climate change, use of remote sensing data to map areas resistant to disturbance, and the integration of biophysical and ecological data. In addition, they will explore the application of the refugia concept to the management and conservation of key species in aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. As a whole, the session will provide information on a suite of emerging techniques and foster an advanced conversation about the role of climate change refugia in adapting our management of ecosystems as a response to changing environmental conditions.
1:30 PM
The once and future refugium
Stephen T. Jackson, U.S. Geological Survey
1:50 PM
Climate-change refugia in boreal North America: What, where, and for how long?
Diana Stralberg, University of Alberta; Scott E. Nielsen, University of Alberta; Julienne Morissette, Canadian Forest Service; David Price, Canadian Forest Service; Daniel Thompson, Canadian Forest Service; Marc-André Parisien, Canadian Forest Service; Jason Edwards, Canadian Forest Service; Fiona K.A. Schmiegelow, University of Alberta; Toni Lyn Morelli, Northeast Climate Adaptation Science Center; Dominique Arsenault, Université du Québec à Rimouski; Jennifer L. Baltzer, Wilfrid Laurier University; Quinn Barber, Canadian Forest Service; Erin M. Bayne, University of Alberta; Yan Boulanger, Canadian Forest Service; Carissa D. Brown, Memorial University; Hilary Cooke, Wildlife Conservation Society; Kevin Devito, University of Alberta; Cesar Estevo, University of Alberta; Lee Frelich, University of Minnesota; Nadele Flynn, University of Alberta; E.H. (Ted) Hogg, Canadian Forest Service; Mark Johnston, Saskatchewan Research Council; Elizabeth Nelson, Parks Canada; Travis Logan, Ouranos Climate Change Consortium; Steve Matsuoka, U.S. Geological Survey; Paul Moore, McMaster University; Hedvig Nenzen, Canadian Forest Service; John Pedlar, Canadian Forest Service; Stuart Slattery, Ducks Unlimited; Oliver Sonnentag, Université de Montréal; Ellen Whitman, University of Alberta
2:10 PM Cancelled
OOS 35-3
Mapping vegetation climate refugia with remote sensing and future climate models (widthdrawn)
James H. Thorne, University of California, Davis
2:30 PM
Climate change refugia and habitat connectivity promote species persistence
Toni Lyn Morelli, Northeast Climate Adaptation Science Center; Steven R. Beissinger, University of California at Berkeley; Sean P. Maher, Missouri State University; Marisa Lim, Stony Brook University; Christina Kastely, Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County; Lindsey Eastman, University of Vermont; Alan L. Flint, U.S. Geological Survey California Water Science Center; Lorraine E. Flint, U.S. Geological Survey California Water Science Center; Craig Moritz, Australia National University
2:50 PM
Will plant communities change more quickly in refugia? A biogeographic and landscape perspective
David Ackerly, UC Berkeley; Matthew Kling, UC Berkeley; Meagan F. Oldfather, UC Berkeley; Prahlada D. Papper, University of California, Berkeley
3:10 PM
3:20 PM
Detecting drought refugia with functional traits: A case-study from the CA Channel Islands
Aaron Ramirez, Reed College; David Ackerly, UC Berkeley; Todd Dawson, University of California, Berkeley; Mark DeGuzman, Reed College
3:40 PM
Remote sensing of refugia from drought and insect outbreaks
Jennifer M. Cartwright, U.S. Geological Survey; Caitlin E. Littlefield, University of Washington; Julia L. Michalak, University of Washington; Joshua J. Lawler, University of Washington
4:00 PM
Genetic refugia: A bottoms-up approach to identifying climate refugia for whitebark pine
Mary F. Mahalovich, USDA Forest Service; Mark J. Kimsey, University of Idaho; Steven Winward, USDA Forest Service
4:20 PM
Topographic fire refugia in late successional forests of the US Pacific Northwest
Garrett W. Meigs, Oregon State University; Meg A. Krawchuk, Oregon State University
4:40 PM
Mapping coldwater refugia as a first step towards spatially-explicit aquatic conservation in Massachusetts
Rebecca M. Quiñones, Massachusetts Division of Fisheries and Wildlife; Toni Lyn Morelli, Northeast Climate Adaptation Science Center; Benjamin H. Letcher, Conte Anadromous Fish Research Center; Scott Jackson, University of Massachusetts; Adam Kautza, Division of Fisheries and Wildlife