COS 67-4 - A meta-analysis and synthesis of elevated CO2 and climate warming effects on terrestrial N cycling

Thursday, August 11, 2016: 9:00 AM
124/125, Ft Lauderdale Convention Center
Yi Zhang1,2, Lingli Liu3, Lei Cheng4, Weijian Zhang5 and Shuijin Hu1,6, (1)College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China, (2)Department of Plant Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, (3)State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, (4)College of Life Sciences, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China, (5)Institute of Crop Sciences, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Beijing, China, (6)Department of Plant of Pathology, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC
Background/Question/Methods

Soil nitrogen (N) is one major limiting factor that constrains terrestrial ecosystem productivity and its responses to atmospheric CO2 enrichment (eCO2) and climate warming will, therefore, critically modulate long-term ecosystem feedbacks to climate change. To date, eCO2 or warming effects on N pools and fluxes have been examined largely in single-factor experiments, and it remains unknown whether the results obtained are indicative to the interactive impact of concurrent eCO2 and warming under future climate change scenarios. We re-analyzed the data of 176 publications that quantified the effects of eCO2, warming, and/or their combination on N pools and fluxes to examine whether any unifying patterns exist. We examined the directions and magnitude of eCO2 and warming effects on N pools and fluxes in both single-factor and two-factor experiments, as well as the impacts of plant growth stages, experimental duration and experimental conditions (pot vs. field). 

Results/Conclusions

eCO2 or warming alone stimulates N cycling and significantly increases soil NO3- and the emission of potent greenhouse gas N2O. When both factors occur in concert, most of soil N pools and fluxes were not significantly affected. Moreover, eCO2 or warming alone did not significantly affect soil NH4+ but their combined effect was highly significant, particularly in early- to mid- growing season, suggesting an interactive plant-microbial stimulation of mineralization. More surprisingly, eCO2-enhancement of soil NO3- only occurred during the active growing period (middle growing season) when plant N demand is usually high. We propose a unifying framework in which eCO2 increases soil NO3- by reducing plant NO3- uptake and assimilation but warming mitigates this eCO2 effect, reconciling the discrepancy between single- and two-factor experiments. Together, these findings indicate that the emergent effect of eCO2 and warming on plant NO3- acquisition and assimilation is a major determinant of soil N pools and fluxes, and suggest that terrestrial models need to incorporate this effect to predict ecosystem C balance and ecosystem feedbacks to future climate conditions.