Session: Modeling (96th ESA Annual Meeting (August 7 -- 12, 2011))

PS 65-102

Predicting the ecological outcomes of species invasions and parasite transmission in the upper Mississippi River
James P. Peirce, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse; Gregory J. Sandland, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse; Constance Sutter, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse; Roger J. Haro, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse

PS 65-103

Using field and experimental approaches to investigate the mechanisms underlying species invasion and disease outbreaks in the upper Mississippi River
Gregory J. Sandland, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse; Roger J. Haro, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse; James P. Peirce, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse; Allison M. Wood, University of Wisconsin - La Crosse

PS 65-104

Modelling the impacts of differing hurricane patterns on the reef-building coral Montastraea annularis
Heather R. Burgess, University of Exeter; Stuart Townley, University of Exeter

PS 65-105

Evaluating effects of stress on orchid populations with integral projection models
Kimberly M. Kellett, Odum School of Ecology, The University of Georgia; Richard P. Shefferson, University of Tokyo

PS 65-106

Stability of non-linear, stage-structured population models: An application of Floquet analysis
Richard A. Erickson, United States Geological Survey; Stephen B. Cox, Texas Tech University; Kevin R. Long, Texas Tech University

PS 65-107

Species distribution modeling using National Ecosystem Survey in Korea
Jiyeon Kim, National Institute of Envorinmental Research; Jieun Ryu, National Institute of Environmental Research; Changwan Seo, National Institute of Ecology; Hyuksoo Kwon, Seoul National University; Jaehwa Suh, National Institute of Envorinmental Research; Minhwan Suh, National Institute of Envorinmental Research

PS 65-108

Modeling of processes of a mistletoe population in the Southwestern United States
Curtis P. Miller, University of New Mexico; Andres Lira Noriega, University of Kansas; Jorge Soberon, Biodiversity Institute, University of Kansas

PS 65-109

Modeling the dynamics of disturbances in mussel beds
Melo-Jean Y. Encinas, California State University - Los Angeles; Edgar Diaz, California State University, Los Angeles; Robert A. Desharnais, California State University, Los Angeles

PS 65-110

Understanding the effect of predator functional response on time to extinction using stochastic models and microcosm experiments
Gian Marco Palamara, University of Zurich; Gustav Delius, University of York; Owen L. Petchey, University of Zurich; N.T. Worsfold, University of York; Richard J. Williams, Microsoft Research Ltd.

PS 65-111

Temporal synchronization to improve empirical modeling of fecal indicator bacteria at a recreational beach
Mike Cyterski, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency; Shuyan Zhang, University of Georgia

PS 65-112

A habitat characterization and suitability model for the endangered wetland plant Lindera melissifolia in the Southeastern Coastal Plain
Anne B. Cubeta, College of Charlestion; Anna Matthews, College of Charleston; Joel M. Gramling, The Citadel

PS 65-113

Predicting plant compositional responses to grazing with a functional traits model
Anne Zemmrich, Texas A&M University; David D. Briske, Texas A&M University; James R. Kiniry, USDA-ARS; Jay Angerer, Texas A&M University

PS 65-114

Site occupancy models to assess the impact of human activities and identify important areas for biodiversity
Eduardo Carrillo-Rubio, Cornell University; Steve Morreale, Cornell University; James Lassoie, Cornell University; Patrick Sullivan, Cornell University; Evan Cooch, Cornell University

PS 65-115

Streamflow responses to potential changes in coniferous forest species composition and climate warming in the Western U. S
Elizabeth S. Garcia, University of California, Santa Barbara; Christina Tague, University of Calfornia, Santa Barbara; Janet S. Choate, University of Calfornia, Santa Barbara

PS 65-116

Inferring community dynamics from time-series data using multivariate autoregressive state-space (MARSS) models: The effect of observation error and noise
Elizabeth E. Holmes, NOAA Fisheries Service; Eric J. Ward, Northwest Fisheries Science Center; Stephanie Hampton, National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis; Mark Scheuerell, Northwest Fisheries Science Center; Lindsay P. Scheef, National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis; Dan E. Pendleton, Northwest Fisheries Science Center

PS 65-117

The Role of resting stages in population dynamics of harmful algae: A mathematical model
Wilber A. Ventura, University of Texas at Arlington

PS 65-118

Spatial distribution and characteristics of endangered Korean Winter Hazel (Corylopsis gotoana var. Coreana Uyeki)
Jieun Ryu, National Institute of Environmental Research; Jiyeon Kim, National Institute of Envorinmental Research; Junghyo Lee, National Institute of Environmental Research; Changwan Seo, National Institute of Ecology; Hyuksoo Kwon, Seoul National University; Chonghwa Park, Seoul National Univesity

PS 65-119

CANCELLED - Physics to planning: Numerical modeling in support of ecosystem restoration in estuaries
Elvon O. Childs, USACE Research and Development Center; Gaurav Savant, Dynamic Solutions LLC; Robert McAdory, USACE Research and Development Center

PS 65-120

Predicting species invasion success and impacts on individual-based modeled fish communities
Henrique C. Giacomini Sr., University of Toronto; Miguel Petrere Jr., UNESP

PS 65-121

Incorporating spatial variation to estimate carbon fluxes in a tundra landscape undergoing permafrost thaw
E. Fay Belshe, University of Florida; Benjamin M. Bolker, McMaster University; Rosvel Bracho, University of Florida; Edward A. G. Schuur, University of Florida

PS 65-122

From ProgramMARK to WinBUGS: Moving toward a hierarchical analysis of avian nest survival
Jessica J. Stocking, North Carolina State University; Theodore R. Simons, U.S. Geological Survey/North Carolina State University

PS 65-123

Use of an ecosystem process model to evaluate the effects of residue removal on long-term soil fertility in Upper Midwest cropping systems
Natalie Dawn Hunt, University of Wisconsin Madison

PS 65-124

Forecasting the effect of ozone on mixed deciduous forests
Eric E. Elton, The Bryn Mawr School

PS 65 - Modeling