Session: Modeling II (95th ESA Annual Meeting (August 1 -- 6, 2010))

1:30 PM

Effects of virus infection and transgenic virus resistance on wild squash population dynamics
Holly R. Prendeville, University of Virginia; Diana Pilson, University of Nebraska-Lincoln

1:50 PM

COS 103-2

Projecting from the past to test the effects of informative priors on forecasts of population size and extinction risk made by Bayesian demographic models
Sydne Record, Harvard University; Noah D. Charney, University of Massachusetts Amherst

2:10 PM

COS 103-3

Effect of cyclones on coral reefs: A Bayesian model of community dynamics
Cheryl A. Knowland, University of Liverpool; Jason E. Tanner, SARDI Aquatic Sciences; Chris L. J. Frid, University of Liverpool; Matthew Spencer, University of Liverpool

2:30 PM

COS 103-4

On how climate change tricks desert herbaceous perennials
Roberto Salguero-Gomez, The University of Queensland; Brenda Casper, University of Pennsylvania

2:50 PM

COS 103-5

Finding localities for an endangered salamander using ecological niche models: A local versus global approach
Christopher A. Searcy, University of Toronto Mississauga; H. Bradley Shaffer, University of California - Los Angeles

3:10 PM

COS 103-

Break

3:20 PM

COS 103-6

A Coupled Map Lattice approach to animal counts in the Mara-Serengeti ecosystem
Nina Bhola, University of Groningen; David Alonso, Center for Advanced Studies of Blanes (CEAB‐CSIC), Spanish Council for Scientific Research

3:40 PM

COS 103-7

A mechanistic approach to modeling ant communities under warming regimes
Sharon A. Bewick, University of Maryland, College Park; Katharine L. Stuble, University of Tennessee; Jean-Philippe Lessard, University of Tennessee; Aaron Ellison, Harvard University; Nicholas J. Gotelli, University of Vermont; Nathan J. Sanders, The University of Copenhagen

4:00 PM

COS 103-8

Modeling species distribution dynamics with SpatioTemporal Exploratory Models: Discovering patterns and processes of broad-scale avian migrations
Daniel Fink, Cornell Lab of Ornithology; Wesley M. Hochachka, Cornell University; Steve Kelling, Cornell Lab of Ornithology

4:20 PM

COS 103-9

A mechanistic, individual-based approach to modeling complexity and dynamics of forest ecosystems across scales
Rupert Seidl, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna; Werner Rammer, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna; Robert M. Scheller, Portland State University; Thomas A. Spies, USDA Forest Service; Manfred J. Lexer, University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences (BOKU) Vienna

4:40 PM

COS 103-10

Stage structure variation in matrix population models and implications for transient dynamics
Martha M. Ellis, University of Montana

COS 103 - Modeling II