Session: Modeling II (93rd ESA Annual Meeting (August 3 -- August 8, 2008))

1:30 PM

COS 42-1

Spread of sudden oak death: Application of stochastic epidemic modeling to realistic landscapes
Ross Meentemeyer, University of North Carolina at Charlotte; Nik J. Cunniffe, Unvirsity of Cambridge; Richard D. Hunter, University of North Carolina, Charlotte; Dave M. Rizzo, University of California, Davis; Alex R. Cook, Unvirsity of Cambridge; Christopher A. Gilligan, Unvirsity of Cambridge

1:50 PM

COS 42-2

An epidemiological network model for avian influenza spread via peri-domestic wildlife
Susan A. Shriner, National Wildlife Research Center; Kristy Pabilonia, Colorado State University; Alan Franklin, USDA National Wildlife Research Center

2:10 PM

COS 42-3

Estimating ecological trend: Which model should I use?
Brian Dennis, University of Idaho; Jean-Yves Humbert, ETH Zürich / Agroscope Reckenholz-Tänikon Research Station ART; L. Scott Mills, North Carolina State University; Jon S. Horne, University of Idaho

2:30 PM

COS 42-4

The effect of seasonality, climate, and density on hantavirus dynamics in the deer mouse in Montana
Angela D. Luis, Colorado State University; Richard J. Douglass, Montana Tech of the University of Montana; Ottar N. Bjornstad, Pennsylvania State University

2:50 PM

COS 42-5

Predicting the distribution of future population fluctuations
Vidar Grøtan, Norwegian University of Science and Technology; Bernt-Erik Sæther, Norwegian University of Science and Technology; Magnar Lillegård, Norwegian University of Science and Technology; Steinar Engen, Norwegian University of Science and Technology

3:10 PM

COS 42-

Break

3:20 PM

COS 42-6

Bridging the gap between structural equation models, ecological theory, and generalizations
James B. Grace, U.S. Geological Survey Wetland and Aquatic Research Center; T. Michael Anderson, Wake Forest University; Han Olff, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies, University of Groningen; Samuel Scheiner, National Science Foundation

3:40 PM

COS 42-7

Estimating viability parameters for metapopulations using multivariate autoregressive models
Eli Holmes, National Marine Fisheries Service; Richard Hinrichsen, Hinrichsen Environmental Services

4:00 PM

COS 42-8

Simulating the potential effects of wildfire and forest management activities on Sierra Nevada fisher population size
Robert M. Scheller, Portland State University; Alexandra Syphard, San Diego State University and Conservation Biology Institute; Wayne Spenser, Conservation Biology Institute; James Strittholt, Conservation Biology Institute; Heather Rustigan, Conservation Biology Institute

4:20 PM

COS 42-9

A new habitat selection model for gray wolves in Wisconsin after 30 years of recovery
Sarah D. Pratt, University of Wisconsin-Madison; David J. Mladenoff, University of Wisconsin-Madison; Murray K. Clayton, UW-Madison; Theodore A. Sickley, National Geographic Society; Adrian P. Wydeven, Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources

4:40 PM

COS 42-10

Resource-ratio theory: Testing assumptions of proportionate consumption to predict competitive outcomes
Kenneth E. Leonard, University of Georgia; Mark A. Bradford, Yale University

COS 42 - Modeling II